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Calendar
LaborMedium impact

ADP Employment Change

Wed · Sep 2 · 8:15 AM ET

Forecast
Previous
62K

Release history

PeriodActualPriorS&P that day
Apr 202662K66K+0.1%
Apr 202662K66K+0.8%
Mar 202663K11K-0.6%
Mar 202663K11K+0.7%
Feb 202622K37K-1.2%
Dec 2025-32K47K+0.1%
Nov 202542K-29K-1.1%
Oct 2025-32K-3K+0.1%

“S&P that day” = S&P 500 (SPY) close-to-close move on the release date — a proxy for the market’s reaction.

What is ADP Employment Change?

The ADP National Employment Report estimates the monthly change in U.S. private-sector jobs, based on payroll data from ADP, which processes paychecks for over 25 million workers. It is released two days before the official government payrolls report.

Why it moves markets

ADP offers an early, independent preview of the labor market ahead of Friday’s NFP. While it does not always track the official number closely, a large surprise can shift expectations for payrolls and move markets.

How to read it

Compare the private-jobs change (in thousands) to forecast and to the upcoming NFP estimate. Treat it as a directional hint for payrolls rather than a precise predictor.

Upcoming releases

Times in U.S. Eastern (ET). Economic data from official sources (FRED); schedules and AI estimates may change. For information only — not investment advice.

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