US market calendar

This week's key releases

The June jobs report (Jul 3) is the dominant event: nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate will set the tone for whether the labor market is cooling gradually or stalling, with markets sensitive to any reading below ~120K or an uptick in the jobless rate toward 4.4%. Thursday's initial jobless claims (Jul 2) serve as the high-frequency check on layoffs ahead of the payrolls print. Together the

Also on the radar

University of Michigan consumer sentiment (Jul 10) remains near record lows around 45, so any stabilization or further deterioration matters for the consumer-spending and inflation-expectations narrative. Weekly jobless claims through the summer will be watched for early signs of broader labor softening.