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LaborLow impact

Initial Jobless Claims

Thu · Feb 4 · 8:30 AM ET

Forecast
—
Previous
189K

Release history

PeriodActualPriorS&P that day
Oct 2026189K195K-0.5%
Oct 2026195K195K+0.7%
Oct 2026195K200K+0.4%
Oct 2026200K198K-0.1%
Oct 2026198K199K+0.7%
Sep 2026199K198K-0.7%
Sep 2026198K198K+1.6%
Sep 2026198K207K-0.4%

“S&P that day” = S&P 500 (SPY) close-to-close move on the release date — a proxy for the market’s reaction.

What is Initial Jobless Claims?

Initial Jobless Claims, released every Thursday by the Department of Labor, count the number of people who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time in the prior week — one of the timeliest U.S. economic indicators.

Why it moves markets

Because it is weekly, it offers a high-frequency, near-real-time pulse on layoffs and labor-market health, often turning before monthly data.

How to read it

Lower claims indicate a healthy job market; a sustained rise (especially the 4-week average climbing above ~250K) is an early warning of labor-market deterioration. Markets watch the trend more than any single noisy week.

Upcoming releases

Times in U.S. Eastern (ET). Economic data from official sources (FRED); schedules and AI estimates may change. For information only — not investment advice.

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