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Calendar
ConsumerMedium impact

Retail Sales (MoM)

Tue · Dec 1 · 8:30 AM ET

Forecast
—
Previous
0.8%

Release history

PeriodActualPriorS&P that day
Sep 20260.8%1.3%-0.7%
Aug 20261.3%-0.4%+1.4%
Jul 2026-0.4%0.2%-0.1%
Jun 20260.2%1%+0.3%
May 20261%0.6%+0.3%
Apr 20260.6%1.7%+0.8%
Mar 20261.7%0.9%+0.1%
Feb 20260.9%-0.6%+0.5%

“S&P that day” = S&P 500 (SPY) close-to-close move on the release date — a proxy for the market’s reaction.

What is Retail Sales?

Retail Sales, reported monthly by the Census Bureau, measures the total dollar value of sales at U.S. retail stores and restaurants — a direct read on how much consumers are spending.

Why it moves markets

Consumer spending drives roughly two-thirds of U.S. GDP, so retail sales is a real-time pulse on demand. Strong sales signal a resilient economy and support corporate revenues; weak sales raise recession and earnings worries.

How to read it

Focus on the month-over-month (MoM) change and the "control group" (which feeds GDP). Beating expectations is generally risk-on; a sharp miss can spook cyclical and consumer-discretionary stocks.

Upcoming releases

Times in U.S. Eastern (ET). Economic data from official sources (FRED); schedules and AI estimates may change. For information only — not investment advice.

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