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Calendar
InflationHigh impact

CPI (YoY)

Tue · Jul 14 · 8:30 AM ET

Forecast
Previous
4.3%

Release history

PeriodActualPriorS&P that day
May 20264.3%3.9%+0.3%
Apr 20263.9%3.3%+0.8%
Mar 20263.3%2.7%+0.1%
Feb 20262.7%2.8%+0.5%
Jan 20262.8%3%+0.2%
Dec 20253%3%-0.5%
Nov 20253%3%+0.2%
Sep 20253%2.9%-0.7%

“S&P that day” = S&P 500 (SPY) close-to-close move on the release date — a proxy for the market’s reaction.

What is CPI?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, measures the average change in prices U.S. households pay for a fixed basket of goods and services — from groceries and rent to gasoline and healthcare.

Why it moves markets

CPI is the headline gauge of inflation. Because the Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation, a hot CPI can delay or cancel interest-rate cuts, lifting bond yields and pressuring stocks — especially long-duration growth and rate-sensitive names like tech, real estate and utilities.

How to read it

Watch the year-over-year (YoY) rate versus the prior month and the forecast. "Core" CPI (excluding volatile food and energy) matters most to the Fed. A print above expectations is typically bearish for stocks and bullish for the dollar; a cooler print revives rate-cut bets.

Upcoming releases

Times in U.S. Eastern (ET). Economic data from official sources (FRED); schedules and AI estimates may change. For information only — not investment advice.

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